Top 11 Uses of Artificial Intelligence for Investors

 

Brainy Bots for Boosting Returns and Shrinking Risks

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Artificial intelligence is the ultimate tool for all investors ranging from novices to veterans. This report presents the top 11 roles for smart agents. The functions span the spectrum from market analysis, trend discovery, and asset appraisal to sentiment review, scenario scanning, and risk management. The examples deal mostly with applications in the stock market. However, the same concepts and methods apply to other asset classes ranging from bonds and options to commodities and realties.

A brainy bot can scour the real and financial markets to detect patterns, uncover trends, and extract useful insights. For this purpose, the agent may digest information in motley forms ranging from text and graphics to audio and video. The smartbot can summarize the contents for busy investors then devise deft strategies for boosting returns while pruning risks. In short, virtual agents act as friendly guides and tireless aides for savvy investors who want to expand their horizons and improve their performance in a complex and dynamic environment.

 

Notes

The full report is titled, “Top 11 Uses of Artificial Intelligence for Investors: Brainy Bots for Boosting Returns and Shrinking Risks”. The ebook is available in EPUB format at the Internet Archive. Meanwhile, an alternate form of the booklet appears in Kindle mode at Amazon. 

A digest of the report has been cast into a video under the title of “Top 11 Uses of Artificial Intelligence for Investors: From Vetting Stocks and Forecasting Trends to Boosting Gains and Cutting Risks”. While the main title is identical, the subtitle differs somewhat. The briefing is available at a couple of sites including Youtube and Linkedin. 🤖 

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Top Trends in Artificial Intelligence

 

Market Forecasting for Innovators and Investors till 2030 and Beyond

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Artificial intelligence is reshaping the entire economy in areas ranging from farming and healthcare to leisure and artwork. The technology and its applications will continue to revamp one industry after another. As a result, the global economy should more than double by 2030. 

One payoff will be a bonanza for the fledgling ventures and established firms that embrace the technology with gusto. The payout is similar for the shrewd investors that bankroll the plucky entrepreneurs and feisty companies at the leading edge. On the glum side, though, legions of slick operators will hype up the gleaming prospects on the horizon to pump up tinsel outfits, thus wheedling billions of dollars from millions of gullible investors. Sadly, the bilkers and their backers will go bust in droves. 

To sum up, the ascent of artificial intelligence will unleash a renaissance in areas ranging from science and business to healthcare and culture. As the revolution unfolds, a core of tuned-in players who make the right moves will reap a cornucopia of rewards amid the greatest creation of wealth the world has ever seen.

 

Notes

The full report is titled “Top Trends in Artificial Intelligence”. The ebook is available at several sites on the Internet. For instance, the booklet may be downloaded in the handy EPUB format at Smashwords (however, the HTML version of the report – which was generated automatically for direct display on a browser – contains some minor flaws in formatting). Moreover, an alternative form of the ebook lies in the Kindle mode at Amazon. 

The report has also been recast into a video bearing the same title. The briefing is available at Youtube, Linkedin, or Internet Archive. 🤖 

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Why Central Banks Fail in Fighting Inflation and Recession

Roundup of Acute Problems and Wholesome Solutions 
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Central banks often botch their mission to pursue high employment and stable prices while avoiding the dual banes of inflation and recession. The direct cause of the foul-up: a focus on lagging signals rather than current signs, let alone leading cues. Simply put, the stewards drive the economy while staring at the rear-view mirror. 

According to an old adage, economists have predicted 7 out of the last 3 recessions. Remarkably, though, one type of maven in the business world wields superb skills in pegging business cycles including early signs of recession and inflation.

On the glum side, the blunders of central banks pose merely the tip of the iceberg of stumpers in the public sector. On the bright side, however, the proper course becomes clear enough once the sinkers have been charted and fathomed. From a larger stance, the culture of an entire society – namely, the totality of values and customs – does not change overnight. For this reason, the full range of problems surveyed here will not be redressed anytime soon.

Yet, one hang-up in particular could and should be cured at once; namely, the shortfall of practical knowledge among the central banks of the world. The main deficit concerns the web of causes and effects behind the business cycle in areas ranging from waves of commercial activity and shifts in consumer demand to sprouts of budding inflation and curbs on hiring policies. 

As a remedy, a central bank worth the name ought to form a Board of Operative Counsel and pay heed to the insights and suggestions on hand. The Board should comprise a handful of adepts fully versed in the workings of the marketplace. In this light, an entrepreneur has learned through wrackful experience how to grasp the key factors ranging from the cost of inputs and shifts in demand to the bloat of inventory and need for layoffs. From the converse stance, a self-starter who does not learn to read the winds of change turns promptly into a failure and a dropout.

To sum up, the central banks of the world botch their roles due to patchy knowledge of the driving forces as well as actual conditions in the marketplace. For starters, the policymakers rely on woolly models sprung from ivory towers. The airy yarns include fairy tales such as the boundless wisdom of producers and utter rationality of consumers, the instant adjustment of prices and perfect allotment of resources. One byproduct is a false faith in inapt yardsticks, as in the likes of lagging signals including the unemployment rate and the consumer price index. 

In a nutshell, the public sector suffers from myriads of flaws. A showcase involves the political class that panders to hoggish factions to the detriment of the entire society. Another sample concerns a shallow grasp of the driving forces in the economy along with their knotty impacts in areas ranging from production and employment to consumption and inflation. Happily, though, a cogent picture of the ills sets the stage for wholesome cures for public policy including monetary strategy.

 

Notes

The full report is titled “Why Central Banks Fail in Fighting Inflation and Recession”. The ebook may be downloaded in EPUB format at Smashwords, or in Kindle mode at Amazon.

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Top 5 Boosters for Tesla till 2025

 

Combo of Internal and External Forces Driving the Stock 

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The top 5 reasons for Tesla to surge until 2025 include internal as well as external factors. The boosters range from supply chains and novel factories to government spurs and election patterns.

An example of an internal driver lies in manufacturing innovation, as in the case of a giant casting that replaces the entire rear underbody of a car comprising some 70 parts. Another sample concerns the ramp-up of fledgling factories in Germany and Texas, each of which will reach the first stage of mass production by early 2023 along with lush economies of scale.

Meanwhile, an external facet appears in a broad program of government incentives. Thanks to its talents in multiple fields, Tesla is uniquely placed to grasp the fresh opportunities in areas ranging from battery cells and electric cars to solar roofs and power systems. Another sample concerns the gradual easing of supply constraints in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic. The go-getter has largely cleared the bottlenecks even though the shortage of supplies continues to hamper many other firms round the world. 

In short, Tesla and its stock are poised to rocket higher over the next few years. Moreover, the prospects over the long range are so stellar as to challenge the limits of prescience and credence at this early stage.

 

Notes

The full report is titled “Top 5 Boosters for Tesla till 2025”. The ebook is available at a number of sites in cyberspace. For instance, the booklet may be downloaded in EPUB format at the Internet Archive; or in Kindle mode at Amazon.

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#Investing  $TSLA 

Tesla as an Aggressive Growth Fund

   

A Diversified Pool 

of 

High-tech Ventures

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Tesla makes waves by building novel products for a sustainable economy starting with electric cars. As a mark of success, the dynamo has single-handedly created a mass market for clean vehicles.

Since its debut in 2003, the pioneer has gradually branched out into adjunct markets and turned into a conglomerate of high-tech ventures. The product lines on hand run the gamut from self-driving cars, solar cells, and potent batteries to insurance plans, neural supercomputers, and humanoid robots.

To be sure, Tesla is a single company from a formal stance. Even so, the wunderkind in practice bears a constellation of startups in motley sectors of the economy. For this reason, a stake in Tesla reflects a diversified portfolio of technologies and applications.

NOTE:  The report is a video titled, “Tesla as an Aggressive Growth Fund”. The briefing is available at Youtube or Vimeo.

Meanwhile, a preview of the report appears as a video clip titled, “Tesla as a High Growth Fund”. The nugget may be viewed at Youtube, Pinterest, or TikTok.

  

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$TSLA  #Investing

Vivid Numbers as Beacons for Market Forecasting

Power of Numeric Pegs

as Cues for

Human Action and Market Movement

Abstract numbers can serve as concrete guides for forecasting diverse markets ranging from stocks and options to commodities and currencies. The mojo of numeric pegs stems from the special roles that certain figures play in natural systems as well as synthetic structures. A numeral can stoke a bias that affects the way we think and act. The hex of figures may be groundless from a logical stance but the symbols bear vital information even so.

NOTE: This title is available in the popular MOBI format for the Kindle reader at Amazon.

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Skyscrapers Predict Real and Financial Markets

 

A Spurt of Gross High-Rises

Marks an Asset Bubble 

and Portends a Market Crash

A breakout of soaring skyscrapers can presage a crash of the stock market and a recession in the real economy. That is, a bubble in real estate by way of oversize buildings heralds the end of a boom and the onset of a bust. In this way, a rash of record-busting construction serves as a portent of doom during the long-lived cycles in the property market as well as the financial forum.

In the modern era, real estate and financial assets form the bulk of wealth for the population at large. For this and other reasons, the tangible and virtual markets are closely intertwined. In the larger scheme of things, the fortunes of both types of assets depend on the health of the economy at large. In that case, it makes sense for the real and financial markets to display a heap of correlation and even a glob of causality with each other.

In their own way, skyscrapers can serve as beacons for investment planning by spotlighting bouts of excess in the property sector as well as other domains such as the stock market. All too often, an upcast of buildings that set fresh records for height is a glaring sign of froth in the real economy and the financial system. For this reason, the sober investor should pay heed to high-rise projects that make little or no sense from a pragmatic stance. To wit, a spate of record-breaking buildings is a cue for the canny player to rejigger their portfolio and prepare for a blowout in the real and financial markets.


NOTE: The full report is a document in PDF form under the title of “Skyscrapers Predict Real and Financial Markets”. The briefing may be viewed or downloaded here.

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Myths versus Mistakes in Investing

Riot of 

 Passive Muffs and Active Goofs 

 in Financial Markets

The financial markets abound with beguiling myths and wanton mistakes. The two kinds of stumblers – namely, fables and bungles – are distinct as well as entwined. The slew of snags act singly as well as jointly to trip up all manner of investors ranging from rank amateurs to badged professionals.

The multitude of pitfalls may be classified into a couple of broad groups. A myth conveys a false view of the marketplace while a mistake denotes a bum move harmful to the investor. The former is a passive flub while the latter is an active goof.

The two types of spoilers run riot in isolation or combination. For instance, a tall tale may bedevil an investor without giving rise to a costly mistake. On the flip side, a wrackful move could arise in the absence of a slippery myth. In other cases, the two forms of sinkers work together to foil the hapless investor, thus fouling their agenda to varying degrees ranging from patchy losses to complete wipeouts.

From a larger stance, the awesome complexity of the real and financial markets hamstrings any attempt to drum up a cogent program of investment. The actors floundering in the mire run the gamut from dewy-eyed tyros puttering in their spare time to wizen pros plying their trade the whole day long.

Whatever the scope of experience in the field, the mass of participants succumbs to both kinds of muck-ups. As a safeguard, the first task of the canny player is to recognize the welter of hidden traps along with the mordant wounds they inflict. In this treacherous environment, a solid grasp of the myths and mistakes is a basic requirement for avoiding the sinkholes and escaping the minefield.


NOTE:  The full article is available as a Web page at MintKit Core. As an alternative, the same material appears as a document in PDF form at Scribd. 

REVISED:  2021/4/11. 

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Market Forecasting

Prediction of the
Financial Forum and Real Economy

Forecasting paves the way for a wholesome program of investment, whether in the financial markets or the real economy. To this end, the techniques of prediction run the gamut from the simple and casual to the complex and formal.

On the scale of rigor, the low end of the range includes a hunch by an investor that a newborn technology will create a vibrant market and render obsolete a mature industry. Meanwhile the opposite end of the spectrum is showcased by a software agent that predicts the price of a stock and learns from its mistakes in order to improve its performance over time.

An investor who wants to divine a market of any sort faces a daunting task. The stumbling blocks include the whims of human actors and the flukes of natural forces. A case in point is a ramp-up of the stock market to ditsy heights by a horde of berserk traders. Another sample involves the smackdown of a regional economy by a monstrous earthquake that knocks out a swath of manufacturing plants and power grids.

In a world racked by chance and chaos, the hapless investor is hard-pressed to peer into the future with any measure of confidence. Even so, the lack of clarity does not mean that anything goes. On the contrary, anyone with a smidgen of sense knows that some things are more likely to crop up than others.

In that case, a glimpse of the future is a matter of degree rather than category. For this reason, the meaningful question is not whether prediction is feasible, but to what extent the task can be achieved.

In a way, the forecaster encounters the same type of challenge in selecting a technique for prediction. More precisely, the apt approach happens to be relative rather than absolute. The best choice of method depends on a bunch of factors including the skills of the user and the thrust of the application.

To begin with, each approach has its strengths and drawbacks. Moreover a given method may work like a charm in the hands of one user but not another. For these and other reasons, the shrewd player weighs a variety of techniques before deciding on the right tool for the job in forecasting a market of any sort.

Read more on Market Forecasting.

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Forecasting Crashes of the Stock Market

 

Impact of Cycles versus Bubbles

at the

Dawn of the 21st Century

 

The stock market can crash whether or not a bubble exists. A showcase was the smashup of 2011 which popped up in tune with the long-range pattern of bombshells but otherwise without any good reason.

The pointless breakdown had one positive outcome. Given the confirmation of the running sequence of crackups, the schedule of flaps appeared to be on track in spite of the partial derailing linked to financial crisis of 2008.

For the wordly investor, the main event of 2011 was the blowup of the stock market in the U.S. and elsewhere, along with the bedlam in kindred fields such as commodities and currencies. As is often the case, the mayhem caused by the participants in the arena – be they part-time amateurs or full-time professionals – was for the most part a premature and avoidable ordeal for the entire community.

The teardown of the markets was prompted by the specter of a full-blown recession in the global economy within half a year or so. One reason for the jitters stemmed from the fitful progress of the industrial nations such as the United States, Britain and Japan. Another factor lay in the brouhaha over the debt crisis in Europe, along with widespread fears of a breakup of the euro along with the collapse of the regional economy.

For a number of years, the politicians in the developed world had been going out of their way to prop up the distortions in the marketplace that arose during the run-up to the financial crisis of 2008. Instead of prolonging the malady, the politicos ought to have left the economy alone to heal itself. Better yet, public policy could have helped to undo the damage done throughout the entire meshwork of production and distribution. Thanks to the counterproductive moves of the pols, however, the economy was doomed to struggle and flail for many years to come.

On a positive note, the crash of the stock market in 2011 showed up in sync with the long-running schedule of meltdowns. For this reason, the sequence of blowups appeared to be on track despite the partial derailing linked to financial crisis of 2008. As a consequence, the next crackup of the bourse could well occur around 2017 in line with the ongoing chain of flaps in the modern era.

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Note: This report is a revised and extended version of an article published last year titled Forecasting the Next Crash of the Stock Market. The new publication is available in a variety of formats ranging from HTML to PDF. A popular form lies in the EPUB standard favored by many devices including Apple products such as the iPad. A variant of EPUB is the MOBI version used by Amazon Kindle. Further details on the report are available by clicking the image to the right.

 

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Market Cycles

 Causes and Effects of Waves 
 in the 
 Financial Forum and Real Economy 

A host of market cycles crop up in the financial forum as well as the real economy. In fact, the two domains of the virtual and tangible are interlinked in myriads of ways. As an example, the action in the stock market depends for the most part on events taking place in the external environment. In the opposite direction, the goings-on in the financial arena affect the vitality of the economy at large.

Looking at the big picture, the whole environment – made up of natural forces as well as human factors – plays a crucial role throughout the marketplace. A showcase lies in the impact of the weather on concrete goods as well as virtual assets. For instance, the onset of winter kindles the demand for heating, the prospect of which prods merchants in the commercial realm and traders in the futures market into bidding up the price of oil in advance.

In these ways a heap of cyclic themes show up everywhere, from stocks and bonds in the capital markets to crops and toys in the real economy. Moreover, the hardy motifs span the spectrum of time scales, from less than a month to more than a decade.

Read more on Market Cycles.

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Forecasting the Next Crash of the Stock Market

Timeline for the 2010s

For the wordly investor, the main event of 2011 so far has been the crash of the stock market in the U.S. and elsewhere, along with the bedlam in kindred fields such as commodities and currencies. As is often the case, the mayhem caused by the actors – be they part-time amateurs or full-time professionals – was for the most part a premature and avoidable ordeal for the entire community.

The smashup of the markets was prompted by the specter of a full-blown recession in the global economy in the near future. One reason for the jitters stemmed from the fitful progress of the industrial nations such as the United States, Britain and Japan. Another factor lay in the brouhaha over the debt crisis in Europe, along with widespread fears of a breakup of the euro plus the collapse of the regional economy.

For a number of years, the politicians in the developed world went out of their way to prop up the distortions in the marketplace that emerged during the run-up to the financial crisis of 2008. Instead of prolonging the malady, the politicos should have allowed the economy to heal itself. Better yet, public policy could have helped to undo the damage throughout the entire meshwork of production and distribution. Thanks to the counterproductive moves of the pols, however, the economy was doomed to struggle and flounder.

On a positive note, the crash of the stock market this year popped up in sync with the long-range schedule of meltdowns. As a result, the sequence of bombshells appears to be back on track despite the partial derailing linked to financial crisis of 2008. As things stand, the next crackup of the bourse is likely to occur around 2017 in line with the running sequence of flaps in the modern era.

Read more on Forecasting the Next Crash of the Stock Market.


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Analysis of Financial Markets

Fundamental and Technical Methods
for Gauging Assets

The analysis of financial markets can be divided into two broad types: fundamental and technical. The former approach explores the prospects for an enterprise in the real economy in order to gauge the outlook for its securities such as stocks and bonds. Meanwhile, the latter scheme examines the past and current behavior of a security in the financial arena as a way to divine the future.

To many folks, these two methods appear to be diametrical opposites. For this reason, along with personal tastes, investors tend to concentrate on one methodology or the other with scant regard for the competing scheme.

On the other hand, each approach has its strengths as well as limitations. For this reason, there is no need for anyone to rely solely on one or the other. In fact, a number of wily investors do take up both types of analysis to a greater or lesser degree. A case in point is the gamer who selects a stock based on the prospects for the underlying company, then draws on technical cues in order to pinpoint the best times to buy or sell the security.

Read more on Analysis of Financial Markets.


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Financial Forecasting in Practice

 Of Human Bondage and Mental Reach in Financial Forecasting

One way or another, financial forecasting is an integral part of investment planning. Whether an outlook happens to be an explicit forecast or a vague impression, the investor has to envision the outcome downrange in order to make an intelligent decision today.

In a global market that grows ever more complex, an entire industry has sprung up to size up the prospects for assets ranging from stocks and bonds to commodities and properties. On the downside, the purveyors of forecasts have a lousy record of foretelling the market. For instance, the gurus as a group make calls that are worse than random guesses on the direction of the stock market. Remarkably, even the top tier of renowned pundits cannot match the performance of a coin toss in predicting the bourse.

On the upside, though, the market displays a variety of patterns which can help the investor in forecasting prices and managing portfolios. Admittedly, the power to predict the market is far from perfect. Even so, a limited ability to anticipate the movement of prices is far better than none at all.

A series of incisive studies by level-headed researchers has shed some light on the chaotic domain of financial markets. The findings provide a better grasp of the forces at work as well as the modes of behavior and the limits to forecasting. To a greater or lesser degree, financial prediction lies within reach for investors with little or no money to spare for oracles, and scarcely any time to devote to the task.

More on Financial Forecasting in Practice.

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Heyday of the Tiger: Last Hurrah before Korea Yields to China

As the global economy shakes off the worst recession in modern history, a host of observers have noted the resilience of Asia in general and Korea in particular. According to common perception, the economic tiger is roaring once more and has been leaping from strength to strength.

If truth be told, though, the reality is a bit more complex than that. As in centuries past, Korea is now caught in a pincer movement between the goliaths of China and Japan. Due to the squeeze from both sides, the tiger’s presence on the global stage will continue to lose its mojo over the years to come.

Granted, the slippage of the Asian tiger down the ranks is not inevitable. A ray of hope lies in the efforts of policymakers to bolster the local economy by reshaping the patterns of commercial activity and economic output.

The leading lights in Korea have joined their peers in mid-tech nations around the globe – ranging from Singapore and Malaysia to Latvia and Slovakia – in the call to move up the ladder of creativity and focus on high value-added services. The product lines on the agenda span the gamut from robotic hardware and nanotech compounds to financial services and medical tourism.

On the downside, though, the plans cooked up thus far have been squarely pedestrian and unremarkable. As a result, the initiatives on the table will not enable the nation to keep its position in the front ranks among the trading nations of the world.

Given this backdrop, the future looks cloudy for Korea. Even so, the morrow need not turn out to be bleak.

With a hefty dose of creative effort and a hearty commitment to wholesale change, the prospects downstream could look more cheery. In this sense, at least, Korea is no different from other mid-tier countries around the world.

If the tiger is to remain in the big leagues in the global forum, it will have to alter its stripes in a sweeping fashion. Sadly, though, transforming a lumbering tiger into a nimble fox is easier said than done.

In that case, the golden age of the dynamo will be on its last legs. The way things are going, the Korean tiger is slated to slide into the twilight starting in the late 2010s.

More on Heyday of the Tiger: Last Hurrah before Korea Yields to China.

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Strategic Planning in the Millennium

Top 10 Guidelines and Videos for Strategic Planning

Amid the breakouts in technology and the ferment of culture around the globe, strategic planning becomes a greater challenge with each passing year. Yet the groundswell of change is a reason for devoting more time and effort, rather than less, to the vital task of preparing for the future. The need for a coherent approach applies to every mindful person, whether in terms of personal planning or business strategy, government policy or global collaboration.

To this end, the current article presents a distillation of top pointers for long-range planning in the 21st century. The guidelines are complemented by a gallery of engaging videos that serve to highlight the key issues.

More on Strategic Planning in the Millennium.

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How to Forecast the Financial Markets: A Simple Approach for Investment Planning

Do you yearn for a simple approach to financial forecasting? If you’re like most people, you wouldn’t mind getting a better sense of things to come in the marketplace.

On the other hand, your life is complicated enough as it is without having to jump through hoops in order to read the tea leaves or sort out the entrails of fowls. In a similar way, you don’t care much for the paraphernalia of tools used by professional wonks, running the gamut from econometric models and statistical hypotheses to smarty software and other arcane widgets.

More on How to Forecast the Financial Markets: A Simple Approach for Investment Planning.