Charade of the Debt Crisis

From Buffoonery to Tragedy

in the

Debt Folly and Euro Farce

A rampant blunder in real and financial markets involves a mix-up between the destination and the journey. A showcase cropped up with the financial crisis of 2008 and its aftermath. During the debacle, frantic politicians wasted mounds of public funds even as they chose to cripple the financial forum and the real economy. From a larger stance, a solid grasp of means and ends is the first step toward thrashing out a cogent agenda in any domain.



*

In complex fields such as finance and economics, a common bungle involves a mix-up between the destination and the journey. The confusion is showcased by the hoopla during the financial crisis of 2008 in tandem with the debt crisis in Europe.

Among the raft of muck-ups, one sample was the batty policy of the politicos for propping up the market for sovereign bonds in Southern Europe. According to the rhetoric of the ringleaders, an official default by Greece or any other country in the vicinity would shatter the common currency in Europe, then clobber the regional economy as well as the entire planet.

No doubt some of the actors in the public sector were taken in by the sham arguments. If so, the goof-up stemmed from a patchy grasp of financial and economic issues. An example of this sort lay in the proper role of the banking industry in the economy at large. Another instance involved the true purpose and import of a currency union across neighboring countries.

Amid the din and smog, the politicos plundered the public treasury in order to prop up the bludgeoned securities. Sadly, the inept move was a whopping waste of the taxpayer’s money. Worse yet, the boondoggles hampered the real and financial markets, thus ensuring that the entire population would lose trillions of dollars worth of income foregone due to a crippled economy.

In any field of human enterprise, a solid grasp of means and ends is the first step toward fixing up a worthwhile solution while cutting down waste and beefing up productivity. The next step is to thrash out a trenchant plan that exploits the opportunities and avoids the pitfalls in the arena. The third task is to put the resulting plan into action with gumption and dispatch.


Note: This report is available from major distributors and retailers of electronic books. A notable example lies in Amazon or Smashwords.

The title is offered in a variety of formats ranging from PDF and HTML to EPUB and MOBI. Further information on the publication can be obtained by clicking on the image above.


*       *       *

 

Forecasting Crashes of the Stock Market

 

Impact of Cycles versus Bubbles

at the

Dawn of the 21st Century

 

The stock market can crash whether or not a bubble exists. A showcase was the smashup of 2011 which popped up in tune with the long-range pattern of bombshells but otherwise without any good reason.

The pointless breakdown had one positive outcome. Given the confirmation of the running sequence of crackups, the schedule of flaps appeared to be on track in spite of the partial derailing linked to financial crisis of 2008.

For the wordly investor, the main event of 2011 was the blowup of the stock market in the U.S. and elsewhere, along with the bedlam in kindred fields such as commodities and currencies. As is often the case, the mayhem caused by the participants in the arena – be they part-time amateurs or full-time professionals – was for the most part a premature and avoidable ordeal for the entire community.

The teardown of the markets was prompted by the specter of a full-blown recession in the global economy within half a year or so. One reason for the jitters stemmed from the fitful progress of the industrial nations such as the United States, Britain and Japan. Another factor lay in the brouhaha over the debt crisis in Europe, along with widespread fears of a breakup of the euro along with the collapse of the regional economy.

For a number of years, the politicians in the developed world had been going out of their way to prop up the distortions in the marketplace that arose during the run-up to the financial crisis of 2008. Instead of prolonging the malady, the politicos ought to have left the economy alone to heal itself. Better yet, public policy could have helped to undo the damage done throughout the entire meshwork of production and distribution. Thanks to the counterproductive moves of the pols, however, the economy was doomed to struggle and flail for many years to come.

On a positive note, the crash of the stock market in 2011 showed up in sync with the long-running schedule of meltdowns. For this reason, the sequence of blowups appeared to be on track despite the partial derailing linked to financial crisis of 2008. As a consequence, the next crackup of the bourse could well occur around 2017 in line with the ongoing chain of flaps in the modern era.

*

Note: This report is a revised and extended version of an article published last year titled Forecasting the Next Crash of the Stock Market. The new publication is available in a variety of formats ranging from HTML to PDF. A popular form lies in the EPUB standard favored by many devices including Apple products such as the iPad. A variant of EPUB is the MOBI version used by Amazon Kindle. Further details on the report are available by clicking the image to the right.

 

*       *       *